英语翻译We will estimate the effect of crop insurance and SURE p

英语翻译
We will estimate the effect of crop insurance and SURE payments on expected returns to crop production (corn and wheat) and the variability of those returns for seven representative farms in the PPR.Each of these farms represents a North Dakota or South Dakota county where grassland to cropland conversion was particularly high in 2005-06 according to data collected by the Farm Service Agency (Table 1).For each of these representative farms,we consider three scenarios.As a benchmark,we estimate the effect of crop insurance indemnities and SURE payment crop revenue when the purchase of crop insurance on new land is not restricted in any way (i.e.,assuming the RMA new land provisions and Sodsaver provision are not in force).Second,we consider the status quo—crop insurance indemnities and SURE payments on new land with the current RMA “new land” provisions in place.Finally,we consider the effect of the Sodsaver provision on crop insurance and SURE payments.
Evidence on the relative contributions of crop insurance and the new disaster (SURE) payments to overall crop revenue could shed light on the role of farm programs in land conversions.Our hypothesis is that the more these payments increase mean
returns and decrease the variance of returns to crop production,the larger their potential role in the conversion of grassland cropland.

我们的影响农作物保险和确定支付的预期收益作物生产(玉米和小麦)和变异性的回报,那七个代表性的农场.这些农场代表了北达科塔州和南达科塔州县草地农田转换的比例特别高的2005-06根据数据收集的农业服务机构(表1).对于每一种代表性的农场中,我们考虑三种.为基准,我们的影响,确定支付赔款农作物保险时的作物收入购买新土地上的农作物保险是不受限制的任何方式(例如,假设军事革命新土地Sodsaver条款规定,不在力量).第二,我们考虑的地位quo-crop保险赔偿和确定支付新土地与当前军事革命”的新土地”的规定.最后,我们认为效果的Sodsaver农作物保险条款,确定付款.
依据相关的贡献和新的灾难的农作物保险(肯定)付款给整体作物的收入可能会在这个角色在土地转换的农场计划.我们认为,这些费用的增加意味着更多
收益和降低方差返回作物生产,更大的潜在角色的转变农地.草原,